It’s been a busy week for earnings, although several reports remain on deck. On Thursday, Apple (AAPL), Visa (V), and Mastercard (MA) will report their results for the period ended December 31, 2025. Traders are already weighing in on their expectations through Polymarket.
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- Apple is expected to report an EPS of $2.67
- Visa is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $3.14
- Mastercard is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $4.24
What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is a prediction platform where traders bet on the outcomes of real-world events, including earnings reports, elections, and economic indicators. Polymarket odds reflect expectations and can provide insight into investor sentiment.
Will Apple Beat Earnings?
Apple has beaten earnings during 17 of the last 18 quarters, with the only miss coming in Q1 of 2023. Polymarket traders are confident that the tech giant will top its estimated EPS of $2.67, giving it a 94% chance.
Will Visa Beat Earnings?
Like Apple, Visa has a solid track record of beating earnings with a 100% success rate during the past 18 quarters. Polymarket traders assign 88% odds that the payment processing company will top its estimated adjusted EPS of $3.14.
Will Mastercard Beat Earnings?
Mastercard has also beaten earnings in each of the past 18 quarters. Polymarket gives the company a 91% chance of surpassing its estimated adjusted EPS of $4.24.
It’s worth pointing out that Polymarket odds reflect expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. The odds represent the views and expectations of traders, but actual earnings results can differ significantly from these predictions. Investors should treat Polymarket data as just one tool when evaluating their investment decisions.