Ridesharing company Lyft (LYFT) posted record quarterly results with $1.6 billion in revenue earlier this month, while generating nearly $1 billion in free cash flow over the past year. Still, revenue growth missed Wall Street’s expectations, which weighed on the shares immediately following the earnings announcement. However, news that Lyft’s co-founders were stepping down from the company’s board catalyzed a jump in the shares of roughly 19% over the past month.
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Moreover, Lyft’s co-founders, Logan Green and John Zimmer, both stepped down from the company’s board of directors. Additionally, the two founders converted all of their Class B shares to Class A shares, thereby eliminating the dual-class structure and establishing equal voting rights for all shareholders.
Although the stock has enjoyed a friendly growth spurt this month, its current valuation remains fairly reasonable; however, thin profit margins, competitive pressures, and execution risks keep me Neutral on the shares.
Lyft Seeking a Path Out of Second Place
The ridesharing market operates a two-sided marketplace connecting drivers who want to earn money with passengers who need rides. It is rapidly growing, with projections for the global market to grow to over $400 billion by 2032. North America (which makes up over half the international market) is dominated by two players who account for over 80% of the market: Uber (UBER) (55%+) and Lyft (32%).
To differentiate itself from competitors, Uber has diversified into food delivery, freight, and international markets. Meanwhile, Lyft has focused on refining the ride-hailing experience in North America, including integrating bikes, scooters, and public transit information, while introducing rider-friendly features such as Women+ Connect for enhanced safety and upfront pay transparency for drivers.
Lyft acquired European taxi app Freenow in late July, expanding its footprint into major markets like the United Kingdom and Germany. It has also forged partnerships with technology companies Baidu (BIDU) and BENTELER Mobility to develop autonomous vehicle capabilities.
The company is in the midst of leadership changes as co-founders Logan Green and John Zimmer have stepped back from executive roles, with Sean Aggarwal stepping in as independent Board Chair. This transition includes the elimination of a dual-class share structure, with the founders’ shares shifting from Class B to Class A common stock with equal voting rights.
Financial Performance Shows Progress
Lyft’s Q2 2025 results paint a mixed picture. Gross bookings jumped 12% to $4.5 billion, helping the company generate $1.6 billion in revenue, representing solid 11% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA, a measure of operational profitability, surged 26% to $129.4 million. The company swung to a net profit of $40.3 million compared to $5 million in the same quarter last year.
Still, revenue came in slightly below analyst expectations, while earnings per share of $0.33 exceeded projections of $0.25. These mixed results caused brief stock volatility post-earnings.
Management has provided guidance for ongoing growth, with third-quarter gross bookings between $4.65 and $4.80 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $125 to $145 million. These projections suggest growth in both the core North American business and newly acquired international operations.
As a further boost to existing shareholders, Lyft reduced its share count for the first time in its history by repurchasing $200 million worth of stock in June 2025.
Valuation and Momentum
From a valuation perspective, Lyft appears relatively reasonably priced. The stock trades at 1.16x sales, well below competitor Uber’s 4.29x and the broader sector average of 1.67x. However, intense competition from Uber’s broader platform continues to pressure margins. Lyft’s net profit margin of 0.39% pales in comparison to Uber’s 22.41%.
Meanwhile, the stock has shown positive price momentum, bullishly trading above all major moving averages. Objects in motion tend to stay in motion, so the stock could continue to run from here, but fundamentals will need to continue improving, else investors risk an eventual snap-back.
Is LYFT a Good Stock to Buy?
Analysts have generally maintained a cautious outlook on the stock. LYFT is rated as a Hold overall, based on 6 Buy, 19 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. LYFT’s average stock price target of $16.42 represents approximately 3.7% downside from current levels over the next 12 months.
Recent activity has prompted some to raise their price targets. For example, Brian Pitz from BMO Capital raised his price target to $16 (from $15) while maintaining a Market Perform rating on the shares, citing “mixed” Q2 results, but the expanded growth opportunities in the U.S. and abroad.
Meanwhile, TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge also raised his price target to $22 (from $21) and kept a Buy rating on the shares, noting that Q3 guidance exceeded consensus expectations.
However, representing the more bearish end of the spectrum, Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil lowered his price target to $14 (from $18) while keeping a Neutral rating on the shares, suggesting the risk/reward is balanced at current levels.
Lyft’s Growth Potential Balanced by Profitability Risks
Lyft’s international expansion and partnerships in autonomous vehicles hold promise, with potential breakthroughs in European markets and self-driving deployment offering meaningful upside. The stock also shows constructive price momentum while trading at a relatively fair valuation.
From an operations perspective, Lyft’s partnerships with major brands like Chase (JPM), DoorDash (DASH), and United Airlines (UAL) are expected to drive growth, with partnerships now contributing to 25% of rides. The company is also expanding into Europe through its acquisition of FREENOW and exploring autonomous vehicle opportunities with Baidu.
That said, competitive intensity, execution challenges, and regulatory risks remain significant. For now, I’m maintaining a Neutral stance and waiting for clearer evidence of progress on profitability before turning more constructive.