XRP (XRP-USD) made a brief push above $3.20, and for a moment it looked like the breakout traders had been waiting for was finally here. The move had the potential to clear the path toward $3.40 or even a retest of the cycle high at $3.66. But the excitement faded quickly. Sellers stepped in almost immediately, pulling the price back to $3.15. This shows that the $3.10 to $3.20 area remains a serious wall that XRP has not yet managed to climb over.
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When a market struggles repeatedly at the same level, it often signals that large sell orders are sitting there, ready to absorb buying pressure. Unless XRP can hold above this zone with convincing volume, the risk of falling back into lower support areas grows stronger. Traders are looking to see if the price slips back to $3.00 or even to $2.81, which is the level marked by the orange EMA line on the daily chart. A deeper move could even bring the 200-day moving average near $2.50 back into focus.
XRP Shows Weak Momentum
Technical signals are also flashing hesitation. The RSI is sitting close to neutral, neither showing overbought strength nor oversold weakness. This middle ground often reflects uncertainty, as buyers and sellers are still fighting for control. The MACD, which had just started turning positive, has already flattened out again. This kind of reversal hints that the bullish impulse may not have the strength to carry further without fresh inflows.
Momentum is critical when trying to break through long-term resistance. Without it, even promising moves can collapse quickly. Right now, XRP is showing that it does not yet have the sustained energy to fuel a convincing rally. Unless these indicators turn more decisively in favor of the bulls, the chances of a successful continuation remain slim.
XRP Reveals Weak On-Chain Activity
On-chain data adds more concern for traders hoping this rally is the real deal. Activity on the XRP Ledger only ticked up slightly during the price move and then faded back down. That means fewer transactions and fewer wallets are participating at a time when the network should be buzzing with excitement. Strong rallies usually come with heavy activity, as more traders and institutions pile in. XRP has not shown that surge yet.
The lack of activity suggests that confidence is missing. It is one thing for the price to nudge above resistance, but without a wave of fresh engagement, the move can look hollow. In short, the breakout attempt is not backed up by the kind of network strength that usually confirms a bullish trend. If activity continues to drop, the breakout could easily be written off as a bull trap rather than the start of something bigger.
XRP Faces a Crucial Turning Point
The next few days will determine whether this was a failed attempt or a launchpad for a larger run. If XRP can regain control above $3.20 with stronger volume and renewed on-chain activity, the bullish case will come back to life. A convincing close at those levels could open the way toward $3.40, and if momentum builds, even higher targets may come into view.
On the other hand, if XRP cannot reclaim and hold that resistance, sellers will see this as yet another failed rally. That would almost certainly drag the price back toward $3.00 and possibly deeper into support zones at $2.81 or $2.50. For now, the token is at a true crossroads, and the outcome of this battle will likely shape the rest of its cycle.
At the time of writing, XRP is sitting at $3.0087.
