Both Hollywood and Wall Street may be on the brink of their next blockbuster deal. According to media reports, Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is preparing a bid—structured with both cash and equity—to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) — a move that would mark the biggest Hollywood consolidation since Disney’s 2019 takeover of 21st Century Fox. The move, backed by billionaire Larry Ellison and led by his son David, comes just weeks after Paramount completed its own merger with Skydance Media.
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As often happens on Wall Street, news of a potential blockbuster takeover—and speculation over Donald Trump’s stance—sent WBD shares soaring nearly 30% yesterday, valuing the company at $40 billion by market capitalization. Further upside is expected in pre-market trading as the trading session begins on Friday morning. Insiders suggest Trump is expected to favor the merger, with antitrust objections amounting to little more than political theater.
As expected, Paramount Skydance shares climbed more than 15%, leaving PSKY’s market cap at ~$18 billion. Although a formal bid has yet to materialize, the news sparked widespread speculation in both entertainment and financial circles about whether the deal will proceed. It would seem the market is not just hopeful, but expectant.
Analysts noted that Paramount’s offer is expected to encompass Warner’s entire portfolio, including its iconic movie studio and major cable networks such as HBO and CNN. Warner had already outlined plans late last year to split operations into two divisions—one dedicated to its traditional cable business and another to streaming and studios. The structure recalls Disney’s 2019 acquisition of Fox, which included film and TV studios as well as U.S. and Indian cable channels, while spinning off key assets such as Fox Broadcasting into a new Fox Corporation. A similar approach could emerge in a Paramount-Warner deal.
Antitrust Concerns Fail to Deter WBD Bulls
However, several critics, including Robert Weissman of Public Citizen, are warning that the deal is not simply a story of market growth and media landscape evolution. In yesterday’s commentary, Weismann argued that a Paramount-Warner tie-up “should be struck down on traditional antitrust grounds,” given the ominous concentration of media broadcasting it would create.
The concerns extend beyond economics. Nearly a year into its tenure, the Trump administration has repeatedly demonstrated a willingness to embrace political confrontation rather than avoid it. According to his critics, Trump doesn’t shirk political difficulties — he deliberately seeks them out. Weissman argues the merger could win favorable treatment not for the benefit of U.S. media consumers, but because it serves Trumpian objectives. Trump, after all, has rarely missed an opportunity to jab at perceived enemies—and a deal of this scale would not only let him knock pieces off the political chess board, but also reinforce his self-styled role as ruler-in-chief.
If rumours of a SKY-WBD deal crystallize into a formal bid, expect the political theater to commence with antitrust proponents on one side and the pro-business lobby on the other. And judging by yesterday’s market surge, it would seem that the market has already chosen a winner.
