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Dow Jones Rallies as Inflation Surprise Fuels Optimism

Dow Jones Rallies as Inflation Surprise Fuels Optimism

The Dow Jones (DJIA) is set to open Tuesday’s trading session in positive territory after the Bureau of Labor Statistics released inflation data for July.

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew by 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year. Economists were expecting a monthly increase of 0.2% and a yearly rise of 2.8%.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was more concerning. It increased by 0.3% for the month and 3.1% annually. While the monthly rise was in line with the forecast, economists were expecting a 3.0% annual rise.

September Rate Cut Odds Rise Following CPI Report

Despite a higher-than-expected yearly core CPI reading, the odds of a rate cut during the September 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting rose following the data. The odds of a 25-bps rate cut now sit at 93.9% compared to 85.9% yesterday and 92.9% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. However, the odds of a 50-bps cut remain at 0.0%.

Track the inflation rate and other key economic metrics with TipRanks’ Economic Indicators Dashboard.

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