UK retail sales excluding fuel fell 0.2% month-on-month, improving from the previous 0.8% decline but remaining in negative territory. The 0.6 percentage-point swing signals a slower pace of contraction, yet still indicates weak underlying consumer demand.
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The outcome undershot analysts’ expectation of a 0.2% increase, a 0.4 percentage-point disappointment that reinforces concerns about softness in discretionary spending. Retailers, consumer discretionary stocks, and shopping-center REITs are likely to face renewed pressure as investors reassess earnings resilience. The negative surprise also supports a more dovish tilt in rate expectations, which tends to aid rate-sensitive sectors such as utilities and housebuilders in the short term, while keeping focus on the medium-term growth outlook.

