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An update from BP ( (BP) ) is now available.
On 14 January 2026, BP issued a trading statement outlining its current estimates for fourth-quarter 2025 performance, ahead of publishing full results on 10 February 2026. The company expects reported upstream production in the quarter to be broadly flat versus the third quarter, with oil production & operations steady but lower output in gas & low carbon energy. Segment results are set to reflect softer realizations in both gas & low carbon energy and oil production & operations, seasonally lower customer volumes, stronger refining margins offset by higher turnaround activity and temporary reduced capacity following a fire at the Whiting refinery, and a weak oil trading result. BP flagged significant post-tax impairments of $4–5 billion, primarily in its transition businesses within the gas & low carbon energy segment, which will be excluded from underlying replacement cost profit. Net debt is expected to fall sharply to $22–23 billion from $26.1 billion, helped by about $3.5 billion of fourth-quarter divestment proceeds, lifting 2025 divestments to $5.3 billion. The company also raised its expected underlying effective tax rate for 2025 to around 42% due to a shift in the geographical mix of profits, while operating conditions in the quarter included lower average Brent crude prices and slightly higher US Henry Hub gas prices compared with the prior quarter.
The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Buy with a $41.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.
Spark’s Take on BP Stock
According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BP is a Neutral.
BP’s overall stock score reflects a company with strong operational performance and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by high leverage and valuation concerns. The financial performance indicates recovery with revenue growth, but profitability and leverage remain challenges. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum, while the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The positive earnings call sentiment underscores confidence in strategic direction, contributing to the overall score.
To see Spark’s full report on BP stock, click here.
More about BP
BP p.l.c. is a global integrated energy company headquartered in London, operating across oil production and operations, gas and low carbon energy, and customers & products businesses. It produces and markets oil and gas, refines fuels, trades energy commodities, and is increasingly investing in transition businesses such as low-carbon and bioenergy solutions, serving industrial, commercial and retail customers worldwide.
Average Trading Volume: 7,578,805
Technical Sentiment Signal: Buy
Current Market Cap: $87.51B
For a thorough assessment of BP stock, go to TipRanks’ Stock Analysis page.