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North Sea Capex Pullback Highlights Structural Supply Risks for Oil and Gas

North Sea Capex Pullback Highlights Structural Supply Risks for Oil and Gas

Investment research firm Wood Mackenzie projects a pronounced reduction in capital expenditure in the UK North Sea, underscoring the structural decline of the basin despite political claims about abundant remaining reserves. The region’s mature fields, rising development costs, and policy uncertainty are curbing new project commitments, which could constrain future supply and reinforce the UK’s reliance on imports. For global benchmarks, shifts in North Sea output are relevant for both Oil – Brent Crude (the key seaborne pricing reference) and Oil – US Crude, while changes in gas investment and output also have implications for regional pricing dynamics in Natural Gas.

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Over the past month, Brent prices have advanced about 5.9%, with traders weighing supply discipline against weakening investment in mature basins; the 1-day technical stance for Brent is a Buy signal, suggesting near-term momentum remains constructive. US Crude has climbed roughly 5.0% in the same period, supported by geopolitical risk and tighter supply expectations, and its daily technical reading also points to a Buy bias, indicating short-term bullish sentiment. Natural Gas has rallied sharply, gaining about 26.8% over the last month as markets reassess storage, weather risk, and supply outlooks; its 1-day technical indicator similarly shows a Buy signal, reflecting strong upside momentum but also heightened volatility. Investors can explore more updates, prices, and analysis across global markets at Commodities.

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