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Carnival (CCL) Stock Surges 7% after Q2 Beat, Guidance Hike, and ‘Perfect 10’ Smart Score

Carnival (CCL) Stock Surges 7% after Q2 Beat, Guidance Hike, and ‘Perfect 10’ Smart Score

Shares of Carnival Corporation (CCL) jumped 6.91% to close at $25.70 on Tuesday, following the company’s blockbuster second-quarter earnings report. Investors responded positively to stronger-than-expected financials and upbeat guidance, which showed momentum across both operations and forward bookings.

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Q2 Highlights

CCL reported Q2 revenue of $6.33 billion, beating Wall Street estimates of $6.21 billion and rising nearly 10% year over year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.35, topping the $0.24 consensus and delivering a 45.83% upside surprise. Net income rose to $565 million, an improvement of nearly $475 million from the same quarter last year, while adjusted EBITDA grew 26% to $1.5 billion. Operating margin climbed to 14.8%, up from 9.7% in Q2 2024, and free cash flow margin reached 51.2%.

Carnival attributed the strong results to firm close-in demand, higher ticket pricing, and increased onboard spending. Passenger cruise days rose to 25.3 million, up 1 million year-over-year. The company also posted record net yields, up 6.4% in constant currency, while cutting cruise costs per available lower berth day by 0.3% and fuel usage by more than 6%.

The cruise operator exceeded its 2026 SEA Change financial targets 18 months early, delivering a 52% increase in trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA per available lower berth day and boosting return on invested capital above 12.5%. Total customer deposits hit an all-time high of $8.5 billion, and booking trends for 2026 are already in line with 2025’s record levels.

CCL’s Guidance

Looking ahead, Carnival expects full-year adjusted net income to rise more than 40% from 2024, with net yields projected to increase 5% in constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA for the year is forecasted at $6.9 billion, up over 10% year over year. The company also strengthened its liquidity position by expanding its revolving credit facility to $4.5 billion and refinancing higher-interest debt, moves that support its investment-grade leverage goals.

On TipRanks, CCL earns a “Perfect 10” Smart Score, signaling strong potential to outperform the market. The score reflects bullish sentiment from analysts and bloggers, increased hedge fund holdings, and strong technical indicators. Return on equity sits at 25.87%, while momentum is up 49.59% over the past 12 months. Despite modest insider selling and neutral news flow, the stock’s outlook remains broadly positive based on its current trajectory.

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