Shares of BigBear.ai (BBAI) have soared 270% over the past year as investor excitement grows around the company’s AI-driven data analysis platform. Meanwhile, TipRanks’ A.I. analysis is urging investors to exercise caution, citing uncertainties around profitability.
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For context, TipRanks’ A.I. Stock Analysis delivers automated, data-driven evaluations of stocks based on key performance metrics, giving investors a clear and concise snapshot of a stock’s potential.
BBAI Earns Neutral Rating
According to TipRanks A.I., BBAI stock scores 43 out of 100 and has a price target of $5.5, suggesting a potential downside of about 3.5% from current levels.
BigBear.ai Holdings’ stock rating is mainly weighed down by weak Q2 financial results, including falling revenue. While the company highlighted growth opportunities and a strong cash balance of $390.8 million as of June 30, 2025, these positives are overshadowed by ongoing profitability challenges.
For context, BigBear.ai’s Q2 revenue totaled $32.5 million, down from $39.8 million a year ago, mainly due to lower volume on certain U.S. Army programs. The company also reported an adjusted loss of $0.71 per share, wider than last year’s $0.06 loss per share. According to TipRanks’ A.I. stock analysis, BBAI earnings call sentiment is Neutral.

AI Analyst Spotlights Positives and Negatives for Investors
The tool also highlights both the positive and negative factors influencing the company’s stock performance.
According to A.I. analysis, positive factors include the company’s strong cash position, which provides the company with financial flexibility, enabling it to invest in growth opportunities, manage debt, and navigate economic downturns. Additionally, with strategic international partnerships and new solutions, the company is well-positioned for global expansion.
On the other hand, BigBear.ai faces several headwinds that could weigh on its stock. Declining revenue, driven by contract disruptions, underscores potential instability in its income streams, making it harder to sustain growth and profitability. The company’s negative adjusted EBITDA points to operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving consistent profits.

Is BBAI a Good Stock to Buy?
On TipRanks, analysts have a Moderate Buy consensus rating on BBAI stock, based on two Buys and two Holds assigned in the last three months. The average BigBear.ai share price target is $5.75, which implies an upside of 1.23% from current levels.
