3 Economic Reports That Could Affect Your Portfolio This Week, September 1-5, 2025

Stocks closed the week in the red as Friday’s sell-off nudged the indexes down from record-high territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 0.19%, while the S&P 500 (SPX) logged a 0.10% weekly loss. The tech large-cap benchmark Nasdaq-100 (NDX) fell 0.35%, weighed down by a sell-off in Nvidia (NVDA) and other AI names, along with broad semiconductor stocks.

With the earnings season now officially locked in following Nvidia’s earnings release, economic data is retaking markets’ attention. The July PCE inflation report did little to shake the widespread September rate-cut expectations, as both headline and core PCE came in line with expectations and confirmed only a modest increase from previous months. The print confirmed that tariffs have yet to meaningfully filter into consumer prices, despite a recent increase in producer inflation.

Bets on a September cut grew sharply after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a more dovish stance at Jackson Hole, citing recent cooling in the labor market. Policymakers held rates steady this year, citing worries that Trump’s higher tariffs could rekindle inflation – but gradual weakening of one of their two mandates, jobs, seems to have tilted the scale.

Incoming data continued to muddy the picture for the central bank. The second GDP growth estimate indicated that the economy expanded at a 3.3% annualized pace in the second quarter, above the initial estimate of 3% growth. However, economists expect that slowing job growth – acknowledged by Powell in his remarks – won’t be able to support the fast economic expansion for much longer, adding fuel to rate-cut calls even though inflation remains a notable risk.

While consumer spending rose in July by the most in four months, August’s consumer sentiment index declined more than expected, and the consumer expectations component dropped to its lowest since May. Moreover, both 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations inched up in August, reflecting continued household worries – despite a second month in a row of strong increases in personal incomes. Still, analysts overwhelmingly predict a 25 bps rate cut barring a strong upward surprise in the upcoming unemployment report, which will be one of the key factors determining the Fed’s easing pace this year – and likely next.

Three Economic Reports

Here are three key economic reports that could affect your portfolio this week. For a full listing of additional economic reports, check out the TipRanks Economic Calendar.

» August ISM Manufacturing PMI – Tuesday, 09/02 – This report shows business conditions in the U.S. manufacturing sector and serves as a significant indicator of overall economic conditions. PMIs are considered one of the most reliable leading indicators for assessing the state of the U.S. economy, helping analysts and economists anticipate changing economic trends.

» August ISM Services PMI – Thursday, 09/04 – This report reflects business conditions in the U.S. services sector, which contributes over 70% of the U.S. GDP. PMI indices are leading economic indicators used by economists and analysts to gain timely insights into changing economic conditions, as the direction and rate of change in the PMIs usually precede changes in the overall economy.

» August Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate – Friday, 09/05 – The Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment reports represent the number of new jobs created during the previous month, along with the percentage of people actively seeking employment in the previous month. These reports are two of the most important economic indicators, as the shift in the number of positions is strongly associated with the overall health of the economy. One of the Federal Reserve’s mandates is full employment, and it considers labor market changes when determining its policy decisions.

For more exclusive market insights and content from TipRanks Macro & Markets research analyst Yulia Vaiman, click here.