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Agree Realty’s Earnings Call: Strong Liquidity Amid Challenges

Agree Realty’s Earnings Call: Strong Liquidity Amid Challenges

Agree Realty Corporation ((ADC)) has held its Q4 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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Agree Realty Corporation’s recent earnings call exuded a sense of confidence rooted in a strong financial position highlighted by substantial liquidity and strategic investments. Despite facing challenges like market volatility and potential credit risks, the company’s disciplined approach and a robust portfolio were positive indicators. Yet, uncertainties in the market landscape added a layer of caution to the overall outlook.

Strong Liquidity and Balance Sheet

Agree Realty concluded 2024 with an impressive liquidity position exceeding $2 billion, bolstered by $920 million in outstanding forward equity. The company faces no significant debt maturities until 2028, with leverage maintained at a conservative 3.3 times pro forma net debt to recurring EBITDA. This prudent financial management highlights the company’s resilience and preparedness for future growth opportunities.

Significant Investment Activity

In the fourth quarter alone, Agree Realty invested approximately $371 million in 127 high-quality retail net lease properties. Over the course of 2024, the company expanded its portfolio across 45 states, with a total investment of $867 million originating from its acquisition platform. This substantial investment activity underscores Agree Realty’s commitment to strategic expansion.

Record Year for Development and DFP Platforms

The company reported a record year with 41 projects either completed or under construction, representing approximately $180 million of committed capital. This achievement marks a significant milestone in Agree Realty’s development and DFP platforms, illustrating robust growth and development capabilities.

High Occupancy and Investment-Grade Exposure

Agree Realty’s portfolio boasted an impressive occupancy rate of 99.6% at year-end, with 68.2% investment-grade exposure. This high level of occupancy and credit quality reflects the strength and stability of the company’s property portfolio.

Market Volatility and Higher Interest Rates

The company is navigating through a volatile environment characterized by higher interest rates, which demands a disciplined approach to capital allocation. Agree Realty’s strategic financial management is focused on adapting to these market conditions while pursuing growth opportunities.

Challenges in the Sale-Leaseback Market

Activity in the sale-leaseback market is closely tied to CFOs’ decisions on capitalizing their balance sheets, a process influenced by rising interest rates and market volatility. Agree Realty is aware of these market dynamics and is strategizing accordingly.

Potential Credit Losses and Bankruptcy Concerns

Acknowledging the potential for credit losses, Agree Realty has included an allowance for 50 basis points of credit loss in their guidance. This accounts for potential challenges, including ongoing concerns like the Big Lots bankruptcy, reflecting a cautious approach to credit risk management.

Forward-Looking Guidance

In its forward-looking guidance for 2025, Agree Realty highlighted a robust liquidity position with over $2 billion in resources and plans to deploy $1.1 to $1.3 billion in investments across its external growth platforms. The company is projecting an AFFO per share between $4.26 and $4.30, indicating a 3.5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Agree Realty’s disciplined capital allocation strategy, combined with a strong balance sheet, positions it to capitalize on opportunities without the need for additional equity capital.

In conclusion, Agree Realty’s earnings call painted a picture of a company with a robust financial foundation and strategic growth plans. While market volatility and credit risks pose challenges, the company’s disciplined approach and strong portfolio suggest resilience. Investors and stakeholders can look forward to Agree Realty’s strategic maneuvering in the coming year, backed by its solid financial standing.

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