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SoftBank Corp. Bets on AI Amid Record Earnings

SoftBank Corp. Bets on AI Amid Record Earnings

SoftBank Corp. ((JP:9434)) has held its Q4 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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SoftBank Corp.’s latest earnings call struck an upbeat tone, underscoring record revenue and profit, strong cash generation and a healthier balance sheet, even as management acknowledged profit pressures and execution risks ahead. Investors heard a story of disciplined growth backed by heavy AI investment, tempered by near‑term headwinds in consumer, media and early‑stage businesses.

Record Revenue Milestone

SoftBank’s consolidated revenue climbed to a record JPY 7.0 trillion for FY2025, with every major segment contributing to the top‑line expansion. Financial and Distribution units were standouts, posting double‑digit growth and signaling that the group’s diversification beyond its core telecom roots is gaining traction.

Net Income and Operating Performance

Net income also reached an all‑time high, rising 4.7% year‑on‑year on the back of solid operating income and broader segment contributions. Management framed this as evidence that past investments, particularly in digital and enterprise services, are now translating into tangible bottom‑line gains despite a competitive market.

Financial Segment and PayPay Momentum

The Financial segment’s income doubled year‑on‑year, driven largely by the consolidation of digital payments champion PayPay, which is preparing for a NASDAQ listing in March 2026. PayPay’s consolidated GMV continued to grow above 20%, while SB Payment Service already surpassed its midterm GMV goal of JPY 10 trillion, reinforcing payments as a key profit engine.

Enterprise Growth and Cloud/AI Upside

Enterprise revenue exceeded JPY 1 trillion, with business solutions and other services up 13.2% year‑on‑year and recurring revenue growing about 10%. Management highlighted cloud and AI offerings as the primary midterm growth drivers, positioning the enterprise franchise at the center of SoftBank’s transformation from carrier to digital solutions platform.

Consumer ARPU and Subscriber Trends

On the consumer side, smartphone subscribers increased to 32 million, reflecting continued scale despite tougher competition and maturing mobile penetration. Average revenue per user edged higher, with management citing roughly a JPY 30 ARPU uplift excluding one‑off access‑charge adjustments and signaling that new price plans should support further ARPU gains.

Capex Discipline, AI Spend and Cash Flow

Capital expenditure was kept in line with guidance at JPY 340 billion, even as the company poured about JPY 200 billion into AI computing and data centers over the past three years. After paying dividends, primary free cash flow remained robust at JPY 98.1 billion, giving SoftBank room to keep investing in AI capacity without over‑stretching its balance sheet.

Deleveraging and Investment Firepower

Net interest‑bearing debt fell by JPY 60 billion year‑on‑year and the net leverage ratio dropped to 2.2%, comfortably within the company’s mid‑2x target range. Management said this improved profile translates into roughly JPY 1 trillion of investment capacity, giving SoftBank the flexibility to fund growth in AI, enterprise services and financial platforms.

Midterm Targets and Dividends

The new midterm plan aims for operating income of JPY 1.7 trillion and net income of JPY 700 billion by FY2030, levels that would mark another step‑change in profitability. Alongside this, SoftBank guided to a dividend of JPY 8.8 per share in FY2026 and reiterated a policy of steadily raising dividends in line with profit growth, underscoring its shareholder‑return focus.

ASKUL Ransomware Drag on Media & EC

Not all segments shared in the momentum, as a ransomware attack at ASKUL weighed on Media & EC revenue and led to a decline when ASKUL is stripped out. While a step‑acquisition remeasurement gain helped partially offset the damage in the quarter, management stressed the event as a one‑time disruption that temporarily masked underlying trends.

One‑time Costs Pressure Consumer Profits

Consumer profitability came under pressure in Q4 due to one‑off factors, including a downturn in goods sales and heavier spending on sales commissions and promotions. Device purchase support schemes and amortization of capitalized acquisition costs were each estimated at roughly JPY 20–30 billion, compressing margins even as SoftBank sought to secure higher‑value, longer‑term customers.

Higher Churn and Slower Net Adds

Smartphone churn ticked up by about 0.16 percentage points year‑on‑year to around 1.70–1.71%, while net subscriber additions declined from the prior year. Management linked this to a strategic pivot away from aggressive short‑term acquisition and toward stickier, higher‑lifetime‑value users, a trade‑off that may weigh on headline growth metrics near term.

Gap Between Operating and Net Income Growth

SoftBank flagged that its midterm blueprint foresees operating income increasing by roughly JPY 660 billion but net income rising by only about JPY 150 billion. The gap reflects the impact of minority interests from listed or partially owned units such as PayPay and SB OAI, along with tax dynamics and cautious assumptions for financial items.

R&D Drag in the ‘Others’ Segment

The ‘Others’ segment remained in the red and losses widened, driven by continued R&D and early‑stage spending on areas like AI and high‑altitude platform systems. Management framed these costs as deliberate pre‑commercial investments in future growth engines, though they are likely to keep weighing on group profitability until monetization ramps.

FY2026 Timing Risk and AI Monetization

Looking ahead to FY2026, SoftBank warned that the first half may show revenue growth but a profit decline as one‑off gains roll off and sales commission and promotional costs stay elevated. Profit recovery is expected in the second half as price revisions kick in, but uncertainties around GPU pricing and the speed of uptake for AI services such as Crystal Intelligence introduce timing risk.

Forward‑Looking Guidance and Growth Drivers

Guidance calls for sustained revenue and profit growth over the next five years, anchored by the JPY 1.7 trillion operating income and JPY 700 billion net income midterm goals and an FY2026 dividend of JPY 8.8 per share. SoftBank aims to keep adjusted ROE around 20% and net leverage in the mid‑2x band, using its roughly JPY 1 trillion of investment capacity to double cloud and AI revenue and segment income by FY2030, with Enterprise and Financial segments leading the charge.

SoftBank’s earnings call painted a picture of a telecom‑turned‑platform company balancing aggressive AI and cloud expansion with disciplined leverage and reliable dividends. While cyber incidents, consumer‑segment pressures and AI monetization timing create noise, management’s midterm roadmap and solid financial footing suggest that long‑term growth prospects remain firmly in play for patient investors.

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