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Algoma Steel Earnings Call: Transition Pain, EAF Progress

Algoma Steel Earnings Call: Transition Pain, EAF Progress

Algoma Steel Group Inc. ((TSE:ASTL)) has held its Q1 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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Algoma Steel Group’s latest earnings call struck a cautiously optimistic tone, as management balanced clear operational progress with equally clear financial pain. Executives highlighted a successful ramp‑up of the new electric arc furnace, record plate sales, stronger per‑tonne pricing and solid liquidity, even as shipments and revenue plunged and profitability remained under pressure.

EAF ramp-up underpins low-carbon transition

Algoma reported that Unit 1 of its new electric arc furnace and the associated melt shop are now running 24/7 and performing as designed. The facility is producing low‑carbon steel with stable metallurgical quality, giving the company the core platform it needs for a full shift away from its older, higher‑emissions steelmaking route.

Record plate sales support stronger pricing

The company leaned into higher‑value plate, delivering a record 116,000 net tonnes in the quarter despite overall volume weakness. This deliberate product mix helped push average net sales realization to CAD1,193 per tonne, up 21% from a year earlier, supporting margins even as total shipments fell sharply.

EBITDA loss narrows on underlying improvement

Adjusted EBITDA remained negative at a loss of CAD28.7 million, translating to a margin of ‑9.7% for the quarter. However, management emphasized that on an apples‑to‑apples basis, excluding capacity utilization charges and prior insurance proceeds, underlying adjusted EBITDA improved by roughly CAD18 million year over year.

Liquidity bolstered by working capital release

Algoma ended the quarter with about CAD553 million of available liquidity, including CAD65.3 million of cash, an undrawn CAD195 million revolver and CAD292 million of LETL availability. The company released more than CAD100 million of working capital, mainly by drawing down slab inventories, and drew CAD126 million under its term facility to cover operating cash needs.

Capex drops and sustaining needs set to fall

Capital expenditures fell sharply to CAD20.4 million versus CAD127 million in the prior‑year quarter as major projects wound down. Management expects ongoing maintenance spending to come in materially below the historical CAD120 million per year level, reflecting the efficiency and lower upkeep requirements of the newer EAF assets.

Defense and structural partnerships broaden portfolio

Management highlighted two strategic moves aimed at diversifying revenue beyond traditional sheet markets. A new Roshel Algoma Defence joint venture will focus on ballistic steel, while a binding memorandum with Hanwha Ocean could channel up to USD250 million toward a potential structural beam mill and related product purchases tied to shipbuilding programs.

Shipments and revenue hit a transitional trough

Quarterly shipments collapsed to about 224,000 net tonnes, a 52.4% drop from the prior year period, as the company managed its production transition. Steel revenue fell 42.4% to CAD266.9 million, with higher pricing unable to offset the steep volume decline, confirming that the quarter marked a deliberate but painful trough in activity.

Profitability still negative amid margin pressure

Despite better pricing and operational progress, Algoma remained in the red on an adjusted basis, with an EBITDA margin near minus 10%. Management attributed the loss to the transitional operating environment, elevated transition‑related expenses and weaker market conditions, underscoring that the turnaround is still in mid‑flight.

Capacity utilization charge weighs but set to fade

The company recorded a sizeable CAD90.2 million capacity utilization charge, which was excluded from adjusted EBITDA, to capture excess fixed costs tied to underused assets in the transition. Executives said this drag should trend down in a roughly linear fashion and disappear entirely by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 as the new footprint becomes fully utilized.

Tariffs drive significant additional costs

Algoma remains heavily exposed to a 50% U.S. Section 232 tariff on Canadian steel imports, which directly cost the company CAD27.4 million in the quarter. These tariffs have forced a reduction in U.S. shipments and continue to complicate the company’s effort to optimize its sales mix and capture better pricing south of the border.

Coil oversupply pressures sheet demand

Management described a challenging backdrop for coil products, citing oversupply in the Canadian market and persistent U.S. imports into Canada that are damping domestic prices. In response, Algoma expects to keep sheet volumes constrained and indicated that overall shipments could edge lower in the next quarter as it leans more heavily into plate.

Workforce cuts add to transition strain

Late‑March workforce reductions introduced additional human and operational complexity during an already demanding transition phase. These cuts, along with broader logistics and startup challenges, contributed to higher near‑term transition costs and weighed on operational performance in the quarter.

Legal disputes and contingent items cloud outlook

The company is engaged in legal proceedings related to supply agreements affected by the current tariff regime, creating an additional layer of uncertainty for investors. Management also pointed to potential benefits from strategic agreements and remaining insurance recoveries, but stressed that these are contingent on execution and external decisions.

Guidance points to breakeven by year-end

Looking ahead, management expects the CAD90.2 million capacity utilization charge to decline steadily over the next two quarters and be fully eliminated by the fourth quarter, with adjusted EBITDA moving toward breakeven. Volumes should be directionally lower in the near term, but Algoma is counting on improved cost per tonne, lower maintenance capex, strong liquidity and anticipated tax and insurance cash inflows in 2026 to support the balance sheet through the transition.

Algoma’s earnings call painted the picture of a company pushing through a deliberately engineered low point to unlock a leaner, lower‑carbon future. While heavy tariff costs, weak sheet markets and legal risks remain formidable, the ramping EAF platform, strong plate performance and ample liquidity give investors a clearer line of sight to stabilization and eventual profitability.

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