Walmart (WMT) stock has fallen 9.8% over the past week and 8.7% over the past month, yet it is still up 25.9% over the last year. Wall Street’s analysts are strongly bullish, forecasting a move toward a $141.54 average 12‑month price target from a last close of $120.27.
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Analyst Kelly Bania (BMO Capital Markets) reiterated Walmart as a Buy on May 22, 2026, with a $145 price target, implying meaningful upside from current levels. This N-star analyst ranks #957 out of 12,214, with a 67.80% success rate and an 8.20% average return per rating.
Bania notes that Walmart’s recent share pullback followed a quarter where earnings beat guidance but were held back by $175 million in fuel cost headwinds that the company chose to absorb. Management maintained full‑year 2027 EPS guidance and 6–8% constant-currency operating income growth, while steering sales expectations to the high end of guidance.
According to the report, Walmart is gaining market share in the U.S., with comparable sales up 4.1% and grocery comps growing at a mid-single-digit pace. The company continues to push grocery prices down, and categories like fashion and marketplace sales are showing some of the strongest share gains in years.
Bania also highlights Walmart’s digital transformation, with 26% global e‑commerce growth, 37% global advertising growth, and surging usage of its AI shopping assistant Sparky. The analyst believes Walmart is currently under-earning due to e‑commerce pressures but argues that investments in Walmart+, marketplace, automation, and AI justify a premium valuation and support the Strong Buy consensus.
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